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Old 06 Dec 2007, 13:08   #10 (permalink)
redbeard
Shas'Vre
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,759
Default Re: Ork Nob Mobz - Hard Hitting or too Small at 10 Nobz?

If the wraithlord had only one wound left when he engaged it, then yes, he could have gotten lucky (not even incredible luck) and killed it.

But, if it still had three wounds and he charged it with 10 boyz and a huge choppa nob, the odds against him winning the combat are astronomically against it.

Including all its attacks, the nob has an expected wounds of 2/9 on a wraithlord, on the charge. Turns after the charge, that drops to 1/12 (owing to both lower strength, and fewer attacks). On average, it's going to take that nob 34 turns to get those wounds. The boyz cannot hurt it.

The wraithlord, on the other hand, has an expected kill every turn. Any turn the wraithlord gets its kill, and the nob doesn't, the orks have to test Ld, outnumbered, and against a decreasing Ld with each kill. The wraithlord also has a better initiative for sweeping advances when the orks do break.

It's one thing to say that they finished off a wounded wraithlord. It's another to claim that the nob in question killed it outright. One is lucky, but believable, and isn't outside the realm of possibility. The other is exaggeration and the odds against it happening are staggering.
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