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Old 16 May 2005, 06:43   #4 (permalink)
Waldo_Pepper
Shas'Vre
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: NRW, Germany
Posts: 1,227
Default Re: Deep Strike or Not to Deep Strike

IMHO, deepstriking suits, especially in a low point game, is a huge gamble that seldom pays off. *You're basically contemplating having your lone crisis drop in, possibly scatter out of range (or to his death) and then only kill a single vehicle about half the time. *Then he's very likely to die during your opponent's subsequent turn. *That's a big waste of a 60+ point unit. *In a 1000 pt game you're probably talking about 1-2 real "tanks" which your railguns should be able to deal with in any case. *

Lets do a statistical analysis:
1 mon'at TL FB suit - he will scatter, on average, 7" 2/3 of the time. *Of course he could scatter across the vehicle or at an angle, but overall a good percentage of the time he's going to end up outside the +d6 penetration for the FB. *

A TL FB crisis will hit 75% of the time. *Of those hits, against AV 12 (let's not use 10 b/c even good scatters are liable to move you out from behind the vehicle) you're going to get a damaging (i.e., penetrating since FB is AP 1) 50% of the time. *That means, on average, you'll get a damaging result 37.5% of the time. *So, assuming you land alive, a little more than 1/3 of the time you'll at least stop the vehicle from firing for a single turn.

What about deepstriking drones? *Scatter is less of an issue since they have an 18" range but they really can only affect the back side of armor. *Of course you can pick you landing point farther behind the tank (assuming there's room) so that most scatter results will still give you a chance of hitting the rear armor. *8 drones gives you 4.5 hits on average, with 1.5 damaging hits. *Of those you have a 50/50 chance of getting a penetrating hit. *However, nearly all the glancing results are also good since they will prevent the vehicle from firing (only a glancing immobilized result won't help since the tank could blast your drones the following turn). * Ok, so 8 drones cost more than the lone crisis suit.... however, they are also much harder to kill, requiring more than a single krak missile or lascannon shot.

In summary, I think deepstriking is not worth the risk, even with drones. *The use of a crisis suit is even worse IMHO because you're talking about losing a pretty expensive unit for about a 1/3 chance of a single success. *In comparison, for nearly the same cost, you could buy a broadside and add another railgun to the list....

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Waldo Pepper

The general who wins a battle makes many calculations before the battle is fought. - Sun Tzu

I want to die in my sleep like my grandpa, not screaming in terror like the rest of the people riding in his car.
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